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Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data


Fordham, DA and Brook, BW and Moritz, C and Nogues-Bravo, D, Better forecasts of range dynamics using genetic data, Trends in Ecology and Evolution, 29, (8) pp. 436-443. ISSN 0169-5347 (2014) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2014 Elsevier Ltd.

DOI: doi:10.1016/j.tree.2014.05.007


The spatiotemporal response of species to past global change must be understood for adaptive management and to make useful predictions. Characteristics of past population dynamics are imprinted in genes, yet these molecular ‘log books’ are just beginning to be used to improve forecasts of biotic responses to climate change. This is despite there now being robust quantitative frameworks to incorporate such information. A tighter integration of genetic data into models of species range dynamics should lead to more robust and validated predictions of the response of demographic and evolutionary processes to large-scale environmental change. The use of these multidisciplinary methods will help conservation scientists to better connect theory to the on-ground design and implementation of effective measures to protect biodiversity.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:ancient DNA, climate change, extinction, metapopulation, phylogeography, species distribution model, quaternary, validation
Research Division:Environmental Sciences
Research Group:Environmental management
Research Field:Conservation and biodiversity
Objective Division:Environmental Management
Objective Group:Terrestrial systems and management
Objective Field:Terrestrial biodiversity
UTAS Author:Brook, BW (Professor Barry Brook)
ID Code:97898
Year Published:2014
Web of Science® Times Cited:61
Deposited By:Biological Sciences
Deposited On:2015-01-21
Last Modified:2017-10-31

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