Using the butterfly effect in a deterministic non-linear system to detect land cover change

We propose to modulate a deterministic non-linear system with state variables that were derived from an Extended Kalman Filter in order to detect change in a MODIS time series. The deterministic non-linear system used in this work is a gravity pendulum, where the displacement angle is observed over time. The analysis shows a change detection accuracy better than 99% obtained with this deterministic non-linear system when detecting new human settlements, with a corresponding false alarm rate lower than 3%.