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Scenarios for Global Biodiversity in the 21st Century
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-17, 05:29 authored by Pereira, H, Leadley, P, Proenca, V, Alkemade, R, Scharlemann, J, Fernandez-Manjarres, J, Araujo, M, Balvanera, P, Biggs, R, Cheung, W, Chini, L, Cooper, HD, Gilman, EL, Guenette, S, Hurtt, G, Huntington, H, Mace, G, Oberdorff, T, Revenga, C, Rodrigues, P, Scholes, R, Sumaila, U, Walpole, WQuantitative scenarios are coming of age as a tool for evaluating the impact of future development pathways on biodiversity and ecosystem services. We analyse global and marine biodiversity scenarios using a range of measures including extinction abundance, habitat loss, and distribution shifts, as well as comparing model projects. Scenarios consistently indicate that biodiversity will continue to decline over the range of projected changes is much broader than most studies suggest, partly because opportunities to intervene through better policies, but also because of large uncertainties.
History
Publication title
ScienceVolume
330Issue
6010Pagination
1496-1501ISSN
0036-8075Department/School
School of Geography, Planning and Spatial SciencesPublisher
Amer Assoc Advancement SciencePlace of publication
1200 New York Ave, Nw, Washington, USA, Dc, 20005Repository Status
- Restricted