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The development of conditional probability reasoning


Watson, JM and Kelly, BA, The development of conditional probability reasoning, International Journal of Mathematical Eduction in Science and Technology, 38, (2) pp. 213-235. ISSN 0020-739X (2007) [Refereed Article]

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DOI: doi:10.1080/00207390601002880


Although errors in reasoning about conditional probability have been the focus of interest of psychologists for a long time, the development of conditional reasoning in school students has received little attention. This paper considers the responses of 69 students across grades 3 to 13 in an attempt to model the development of appropriate reasoning skills. Although acknowledging the misconceptions observed by earlier researchers, this study seeks a positivist approach to describe developing understanding by combining mathematical appropriateness with structural complexity. The results of the study are intended to inform other researchers, teachers, and curriculum developers.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Research Division:Education
Research Group:Curriculum and pedagogy
Research Field:Mathematics and numeracy curriculum and pedagogy
Objective Division:Education and Training
Objective Group:Other education and training
Objective Field:Other education and training not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:Watson, JM (Professor Jane Watson)
UTAS Author:Kelly, BA (Mr Ben Kelly)
ID Code:49361
Year Published:2007
Deposited By:Education
Deposited On:2007-08-01
Last Modified:2010-05-04
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