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The Use of Predictive Modelling in Impact Assessment: Implications for Environmental Legislation and Regulation

journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-16, 18:07 authored by Ronlyn DuncanRonlyn Duncan
Predictive modelling is now an indispensable tool in the identification of social, economic and environmental impacts and risks. This article appraises its use in the assessment of environmental impacts on the Gordon River of Basslink, the Bass Strait power cable that will plug Tasmania into the National Electricity Market. This study follows a proponent's knowledge claims derived from predictive modelling from their origin in researchers' reports to their legitimation as regulatory outcomes. By tracing two modelling comparisons, it will be shown that conclusions on the extent of environmental impacts on the Gordon River changed during the impact assessment process from being considered significant to insignificant and, consequently, how an invocation of environmental regulatory legislation was avoided. © National Council of the Institute of Public Administration Australia 2006.

History

Publication title

Australian Journal of Public Administration

Volume

65

Pagination

75-88

ISSN

0313-6647

Department/School

School of Geography, Planning and Spatial Sciences

Publisher

Blackwell Publishing Asia

Place of publication

Carlton, Victoria

Rights statement

The definitive published version is available online at: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/

Repository Status

  • Restricted

Socio-economic Objectives

Environmental policy, legislation and standards not elsewhere classified

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