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Poleward bound: adapting to climate-driven species redistribution

Citation

Melbourne-Thomas, J and Audzijonyte, A and Brasier, MJ and Cresswell, KA and Fogarty, HE and Haward, M and Hobday, AJ and Hunt, HL and Ling, SD and McCormack, PC and Mustonen, T and Mustonen, K and Nye, JA and Oellermann, M and Trebilco, R and Van Putten, I and Villanueva, C and Watson, RA and Pecl, GT, Poleward bound: adapting to climate-driven species redistribution, Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries ISSN 0960-3166 (2021) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright Crown 2021

DOI: doi:10.1007/s11160-021-09641-3

Abstract

One of the most pronounced effects of climate change on the world’s oceans is the (generally) poleward movement of species and fishery stocks in response to increasing water temperatures. In some regions, such redistributions are already causing dramatic shifts in marine socioecological systems, profoundly altering ecosystem structure and function, challenging domestic and international fisheries, and impacting on human communities. Such effects are expected to become increasingly widespread as waters continue to warm and species ranges continue to shift. Actions taken over the coming decade (2021–2030) can help us adapt to species redistributions and minimise negative impacts on ecosystems and human communities, achieving a more sustainable future in the face of ecosystem change. We describe key drivers related to climate-driven species redistributions that are likely to have a high impact and influence on whether a sustainable future is achievable by 2030. We posit two different futures—a ‘business as usual’ future and a technically achievable and more sustainable future, aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals. We then identify concrete actions that provide a pathway towards the more sustainable 2030 and that acknowledge and include Indigenous perspectives. Achieving this sustainable future will depend on improved monitoring and detection, and on adaptive, cooperative management to proactively respond to the challenge of species redistribution. We synthesise examples of such actions as the basis of a strategic approach to tackle this global-scale challenge for the benefit of humanity and ecosystems.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:climate change, future seas, Indigenous knowledge, interdisciplinary, range shifts, species redistribution
Research Division:Environmental Sciences
Research Group:Climate change impacts and adaptation
Research Field:Ecological impacts of climate change and ecological adaptation
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Adaptation to climate change
Objective Field:Ecosystem adaptation to climate change
UTAS Author:Melbourne-Thomas, J (Dr Jessica Melbourne-Thomas)
UTAS Author:Audzijonyte, A (Dr Asta Audzijonyte)
UTAS Author:Brasier, MJ (Dr Madeleine Brasier)
UTAS Author:Cresswell, KA (Ms Katie Cresswell)
UTAS Author:Fogarty, HE (Ms Hannah Fogarty)
UTAS Author:Haward, M (Professor Marcus Haward)
UTAS Author:Hobday, AJ (Dr Alistair Hobday)
UTAS Author:Hunt, HL (Professor Heather Hunt)
UTAS Author:Ling, SD (Dr Scott Ling)
UTAS Author:McCormack, PC (Ms Phillipa McCormack)
UTAS Author:Trebilco, R (Dr Rowan Trebilco)
UTAS Author:Van Putten, I (Dr Ingrid Van Putten)
UTAS Author:Villanueva, C (Dr Cecilia Villanueva)
UTAS Author:Watson, RA (Professor Reginald Watson)
UTAS Author:Pecl, GT (Professor Gretta Pecl)
ID Code:144235
Year Published:2021
Deposited By:Fisheries and Aquaculture
Deposited On:2021-05-03
Last Modified:2021-06-10
Downloads:0

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