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Improving Australia's flood record for planning purposes - can we do better?

Citation

Allen, KJ and Hope, P and Lam, D and Brown, JR and Wasson, RJ, Improving Australia's flood record for planning purposes - can we do better?, Australian Journal of Water Resources, 24, (1) pp. 36-45. ISSN 1324-1583 (2020) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

2020 Engineers Australia

DOI: doi:10.1080/13241583.2020.1745735

Abstract

Extreme rainfall is projected to increase with climate change, but the impact of climate change on floods is uncertain. Infrastructure design based on information available from short gauged time series (typically ∼30-80 years) may not take account of the full range of possible flood events, or be suitable for identifying non-stationarity. Australian palaeoflood and palaeo-hydroclimate records drawn from a wide variety of natural archives and documentary sources suggest that Australia has been subjected to larger flood events in the past; a pluvial period for eastern Australia in the eighteenth Century is particularly note-worthy. If the current infrastructure is inadequate for past floods, it is unlikely it will adequately mitigate future floods. We discuss how improved awareness, and incorporation, of palaeoflood records in risk estimates could help guide infrastructure planning and design, flood event prediction and inform flood mitigation policy. This is particularly relevant for Australia with its notoriously variable hydroclimate.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:floods, infrastructure design risk, palaeofloods
Research Division:History, Heritage and Archaeology
Research Group:Historical studies
Research Field:Environmental history
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding knowledge in the earth sciences
UTAS Author:Allen, KJ (Dr Kathy Allen)
ID Code:142731
Year Published:2020
Web of Science® Times Cited:2
Deposited By:Geography and Spatial Science
Deposited On:2021-02-09
Last Modified:2021-05-19
Downloads:0

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