eCite Digital Repository

Developing achievable alternate futures for key challenges during the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development

Citation

Nash, KL and Alexander, K and Melbourne-Thomas, J and Novioaglio, C and Sbrocchi, C and Villanueva, C and Pecl, GT, Developing achievable alternate futures for key challenges during the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development, Reviews in Fish Biology and Fisheries pp. 1-18. ISSN 0960-3166 (2021) [Refereed Article]


Preview
PDF (Early view)
Pending copyright assessment - Request a copy
1Mb
  

DOI: doi:10.1007/s11160-020-09629-5

Abstract

The oceans face a range of complex challenges for which the impacts on society are highly uncertain but mostly negative. Tackling these challenges is testing society’s capacity to mobilise transformative action, engendering a sense of powerlessness. Envisaging positive but realistic visions of the future, and considering how current knowledge, resources, and technology could be used to achieve these futures, may lead to greater action to achieve sustainable transformations. Future Seas (www.FutureSeas2030.org) brought together researchers across career stages, Indigenous Peoples and environmental managers to develop scenarios for 12 challenges facing the oceans, leveraging interdisciplinary knowledge to improve society’s capacity to purposefully shape the direction of marine social-ecological systems over the UN Decade of Ocean Science for Sustainable Development (2021–2030). We describe and reflect on Future Seas, providing guidance for co-developing scenarios in interdisciplinary teams tasked with exploring ocean futures. We detail the narrative development for two futures: our current trajectory based on published evidence, and a more sustainable future, consistent with the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals, which is technically achievable using existing and emerging knowledge. Presentation of Business-as-usual and More Sustainable futures—together—allows communication of both trajectories, whilst also highlighting achievable, sustainable versions of the future. The advantages of the interdisciplinary approach taken include: (1) integrating different perspectives on solutions, (2) capacity to explore interactions between Life Under Water (Goal 14) and other SDGs, and (3) cross-disciplinary learning. This approach allowed participants to conceptualise shared visions of the future and co-design transformative pathways to achieving those futures.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:future scenarios, ocean futures, UN Decade of Ocean Science, interdisciplinary research, backcasting, foresight activities, futures literacy, scenario development, Sustainable Development Goals
Research Division:Biological Sciences
Research Group:Ecology
Research Field:Marine and estuarine ecology (incl. marine ichthyology)
Objective Division:Environmental Management
Objective Group:Marine systems and management
Objective Field:Assessment and management of benthic marine ecosystems
UTAS Author:Nash, KL (Dr Kirsty Nash)
UTAS Author:Alexander, K (Dr Karen Alexander)
UTAS Author:Melbourne-Thomas, J (Dr Jessica Melbourne-Thomas)
UTAS Author:Novioaglio, C (Dr Camilla Novaglio)
UTAS Author:Villanueva, C (Dr Cecilia Villanueva)
UTAS Author:Pecl, GT (Professor Gretta Pecl)
ID Code:142356
Year Published:2021
Web of Science® Times Cited:3
Deposited By:Ecology and Biodiversity
Deposited On:2021-01-12
Last Modified:2021-01-19
Downloads:0

Repository Staff Only: item control page