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Accounting Earnings, Permanent Cash Flow and the Distribution of the Earnings to Price Ratio


Biekpe, N and Tippett, M and Willett, RJ, Accounting Earnings, Permanent Cash Flow and the Distribution of the Earnings to Price Ratio, British Accounting Review, The, 30, (2) pp. 105-40. ISSN 0890-8389 (1998) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 1998 Academic Press

DOI: doi:10.1006/bare.1997.0056


This paper explores the suggestion that users of financial statements seek a ‘normalized’ version of earnings from which to estimate equity value. We argue that this leads to a theory of earnings to price ratios which is rooted in thecertainty-based ‘economic income’ models of Hicks. Methods laid down in previous research are then used in conjunction with a neoclassical model of capital accumulation to generalize the Hicksian income model to uncertainty. Our analysis shows that in ‘steady state’, Pearson's Type IV distribution ought to be a good candidate for the statistical process which describes the evolution of the earnings to price ratio. This, in turn, implies that the probability density for the earnings to price ratio will be skewed, with the possibility of ‘thin’ or ‘fat’ tails relative to the normal distribution. Also, some of the lower moments may not exist. Our empirical evidence is in broad agreement with these predictions.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Research Division:Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services
Research Group:Banking, finance and investment
Research Field:Financial econometrics
Objective Division:Economic Framework
Objective Group:Microeconomics
Objective Field:Market-based mechanisms
UTAS Author:Willett, RJ (Professor Roger Willett)
ID Code:100531
Year Published:1998
Deposited By:TSBE
Deposited On:2015-05-19
Last Modified:2015-06-12

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