eCite Digital Repository

Rapid assessment of fisheries species sensitivity to climate change


Pecl, GT and Ward, TM and Doubleday, ZA and Clarke, S and Day, J and Dixon, C and Frusher, S and Gibbs, P and Hobday, AJ and Hutchinson, N and Jennings, S and Jones, K and Li, X and Spooner, D and Stoklosa, R, Rapid assessment of fisheries species sensitivity to climate change, Climatic Change, 127, (3-4) pp. 505-520. ISSN 0165-0009 (2014) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2014 Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht

DOI: doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1284-z


Climate change driven alterations in the distribution and abundance of marine species, and the timing of their life history events (phenology), are being reported around the globe. However, we have limited capacity to detect and predict these responses, even for comparatively well studied commercial fishery species. Fisheries provide significant socioeconomic benefits for many coastal communities, and early warning of potential changes to fish stocks will provide managers and other stakeholders with the best opportunity to adapt to these impacts. Rapid assessment methods that can estimate the sensitivity of species to climate change in a wide range of contexts are needed. This study establishes an objective, flexible and cost effective framework for prioritising future ecological research and subsequent investment in adaptation responses in the face of resource constraints. We build on an ecological risk assessment framework to assess relative sensitivities of commercial species to climate change drivers, specifically in relation to their distribution, abundance and phenology, and demonstrate our approach using key species within the fast warming region of south-eastern Australia. Our approach has enabled fisheries managers to understand likely changes to fisheries under a range of climate change scenarios, highlighted critical research gaps and priorities, and assisted marine industries to identify adaptation strategies that maximise positive outcomes.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Research Division:Agricultural, Veterinary and Food Sciences
Research Group:Fisheries sciences
Research Field:Fisheries sciences not elsewhere classified
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Understanding climate change
Objective Field:Effects of climate change on Australia (excl. social impacts)
UTAS Author:Pecl, GT (Professor Gretta Pecl)
UTAS Author:Ward, TM (Associate Professor Timothy Ward)
UTAS Author:Frusher, S (Professor Stewart Frusher)
UTAS Author:Jennings, S (Dr Sarah Jennings)
ID Code:97505
Year Published:2014
Web of Science® Times Cited:71
Deposited By:Sustainable Marine Research Collaboration
Deposited On:2014-12-19
Last Modified:2021-09-30

Repository Staff Only: item control page