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Transportation risk analysis framework for arctic waters


Khan, F and Yang, M and Veitch, B and Ehlers, S and Chai, S, Transportation risk analysis framework for arctic waters, Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE, 8-13 June 2014, San Francisco, California, pp. 1-10. ISBN 978-079184556-1 (2014) [Refereed Conference Paper]

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Copyright 2014 ASME

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DOI: doi:10.1115/OMAE2014-23421


Arctic waters have historically been relatively inaccessible for marine transport. Lately, climate change has made more of this region ice-free in the summer season. This has reduced the difficulty of marine transport in Arctic waters. Further, exploration and development of natural resources is increasing in Arctic regions, as is destinational shipping. The unique risk factors of this region, such as extremely low temperature, ice conditions and drifting icebergs, continue to pose threats to transportation. Potential impacts associated with marine transportation accidents warrant contingency plans that recognize that preventative measures may fail. To plan effectively, a transportation accident risk assessment model for Arctic waters is helpful. There is limited work on the development of such models. A new cause-consequences based risk assessment model is proposed here. The model estimates the probability of a transportation accident and also the related consequences during navigation in Arctic waters. To illustrate the application of the methodology, it is applied to a case of an oil-tanker collision on the Northern Sea Route

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Conference Paper
Keywords:Arctic Transportation, Ship Accidents, Risk Assessment, Bayesian Network
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Maritime engineering
Research Field:Ocean engineering
Objective Division:Energy
Objective Group:Mining and extraction of energy resources
Objective Field:Oil and gas extraction
UTAS Author:Khan, F (Professor Faisal Khan)
UTAS Author:Chai, S (Professor Shuhong Chai)
ID Code:93170
Year Published:2014
Deposited By:NC Maritime Engineering and Hydrodynamics
Deposited On:2014-07-14
Last Modified:2018-04-05
Downloads:5 View Download Statistics

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