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Farm household models to analyse food security in a changing climate: a review


van Wijk, MT and Rufino, MC and Enahoro, D and Parsons, D and Silvestri, S and Valdivia, RO and Herrero, M, Farm household models to analyse food security in a changing climate: a review, Global Food Security, 3, (2) pp. 77-84. ISSN 2211-9124 (2014) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2014 Elsevier B.V.

DOI: doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2014.05.001


We systematically reviewed the literature on farm household models, with emphasis on those focused on smallholder systems. The models were evaluated on their predictive ability to describe short term (310 years) food security of smallholder farm households under climate variability and under different scenarios of climate change. The review of 126, mainly production-oriented, farm household models, showed that integrated analyses of food security at the farm household level are scarce. Some models deal with elements of food security, but the models covered in this review are weak on decision-making theory and risk analyses. These aspects need urgent attention for dealing with more complex adaptation and mitigation questions, in the face of climatic change. Approaches that make use of decision making theory and combine the strengths of (dynamic) mathematical programming and expert systems decision models seem promising in this respect. They could support the robust evaluation of climate change impacts and adaptive management options on smallholder systems.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:whole farm modelling, systems, simulation, climate change, review, farm household model, food security
Research Division:Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences
Research Group:Agriculture, Land and Farm Management
Research Field:Agricultural Production Systems Simulation
Objective Division:Animal Production and Animal Primary Products
Objective Group:Environmentally Sustainable Animal Production
Objective Field:Environmentally Sustainable Animal Production not elsewhere classified
Author:Parsons, D (Dr David Parsons)
ID Code:92678
Year Published:2014
Web of Science® Times Cited:21
Deposited By:Tasmanian Institute of Agriculture
Deposited On:2014-06-25
Last Modified:2017-11-07
Downloads:5 View Download Statistics

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