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A new glacial isostatic adjustment model for Antarctica: calibrated and tested using observations of relative sea-level change and present-day uplift rates

Citation

Whitehouse, PL and Bentley, MJ and Milne, GA and King, MA and Thomas, ID, A new glacial isostatic adjustment model for Antarctica: calibrated and tested using observations of relative sea-level change and present-day uplift rates, Geophysical Journal International, 190, (3) pp. 1464-1482. ISSN 0956-540X (2012) [Refereed Article]


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Copyright Statement

Copyright 2012 The Authors Geophysical Journal International Copyright 2012 RAS

DOI: doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2012.05557.x

Abstract

We present a glacial isostatic adjustment (GIA) model for Antarctica. This is driven by a new deglaciation history that has been developed using a numerical ice-sheet model, and is constrained to fit observations of past ice extent. We test the sensitivity of the GIA model to uncertainties in the deglaciation history, and seek earth model parameters that minimize the misfit of model predictions to relative sea-level observations from Antarctica. We find that the relative sea-level predictions are fairly insensitive to changes in lithospheric thickness and lower mantle viscosity, but show high sensitivity to changes in upper mantle viscosity and constrain this value (95 per cent confidence) to lie in the range 0.82.0 1021 Pa s. Significant misfits at several sites may be due to errors in the deglaciation history, or unmodelled effects of lateral variations in Earth structure. When we compare our GIA model predictions with elastic corrected GPS uplift rates we find that the predicted rates are biased high (weighted mean bias = 1.8mm yr1) and there is a weighted root-mean-square (WRMS) error of 2.9mm yr1. In particular, our model systematically over-predicts uplift rates in the Antarctica Peninsula, and we attempt to address this by adjusting the Late Holocene loading history in this region, within the bounds of uncertainty of the deglaciation model. Using this adjusted model the weighted mean bias improves from 1.8 to 1.2mm yr1, and the WRMS error is reduced to 2.3mm yr1, compared with 4.9mm yr1 for ICE-5G v1.2 and 5.0mm yr1 for IJ05. Finally, we place spatially variable error bars on our GIA uplift rate predictions, taking into account uncertainties in both the deglaciation history and modelled Earth viscosity structure. This work provides a new GIA correction for the GRACE data in Antarctica, thus permitting more accurate constraints to be placed on current ice-mass change.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:satellite geodesy, sea level change, transient deformation, rheology, mantle, Antarctica
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Geomatic Engineering
Research Field:Geodesy
Objective Division:Environment
Objective Group:Climate and Climate Change
Objective Field:Climate and Climate Change not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:King, MA (Professor Matt King)
ID Code:89654
Year Published:2012
Web of Science® Times Cited:127
Deposited By:Geography and Environmental Studies
Deposited On:2014-03-11
Last Modified:2014-10-16
Downloads:323 View Download Statistics

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