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Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in land surface-atmosphere flux predictions
Citation
Franks, SW and Beven, KJ, Bayesian estimation of uncertainty in land surface-atmosphere flux predictions, Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres, 102, (D20) Article 97JD02011. ISSN 2169-8996 (1997) [Refereed Article]
Copyright Statement
Copyright 1997 American Geophysical Union
Abstract
This studya ddressesth e assessmenot f uncertaintya ssociatedw ith predictions
of land surface-atmospherfelu xesu singB ayesianM onte Carlo simulationw ithin the
generalizedli kelihoodu ncertaintye stimation( GLUE) methodologyE. ven a simples oil
vegetation-atmosphertrea nsfer( SVAT) schemei s shownt o lead to multiple acceptable
parameterizationsw hen calibrationd ata are limited to timescaleso f typicali ntensivef ield
campaignsT.h e GLUE methodologya ssignas likelihoodw eightt o eacha cceptables imulation.
As more data becomea vailablet, hesel ikelihoodw eightsm ay be updatedb y usingB ayes
equationA. pplicationo f the GLUE methodologyc an be shownt o reveald eficiencieisn model
structure and the benefit of additional calibration data. The method is demonstrated with data
sets taken from FIFE sites in Kansas, and ABRACOS data from the Amazon. Estimates
of uncertaintya re propagatedf or each data set revealings ignificantp redictiveu ncertainty.
The value of additional periods of data is then evaluated through comparing updated
uncertaintye stimatesw ith previouse stimatesu singt he Shannone ntropym easure
Item Details
Item Type: | Refereed Article |
---|---|
Keywords: | uncertaintly GLUE climate change latent heat flux SVAT |
Research Division: | Engineering |
Research Group: | Environmental engineering |
Research Field: | Air pollution modelling and control |
Objective Division: | Environmental Management |
Objective Group: | Other environmental management |
Objective Field: | Other environmental management not elsewhere classified |
UTAS Author: | Franks, SW (Professor Stewart Franks) |
ID Code: | 86411 |
Year Published: | 1997 |
Web of Science® Times Cited: | 101 |
Deposited By: | Engineering |
Deposited On: | 2013-09-14 |
Last Modified: | 2013-10-16 |
Downloads: | 0 |
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