Future climate projections for Tasmanian IBRA regions: A report to the Independent Verification Group for the Tasmanian Forest Agreement

The Climate Futures for Tasmania (CFT) project generated climate projections specific to Tasmania to the year 2100 using the most recent climate modelling techniques available. Fine-scale climate modelling was achieved using CSIRO’s Conformal Cubic Atmospheric Model (CCAM) to dynamically downscale outputs from the most recent set of global climate model (GCM) simulations. Downscaling retains the projection of global change indicated by the GCMs, and adds relevant detail at the regional scale, making the outputs appropriate for distinguishing different regions of Tasmania. A full account of the modelling strategy and methods used are presented in the CFT modelling technical report (Corney et al 2011).