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The confidence-accuracy relationship for eyewitness identification decisions: effects of exposure duration, retention interval, and divided attention


Palmer, MA and Brewer, N and Weber, N and Nagesh, A, The confidence-accuracy relationship for eyewitness identification decisions: effects of exposure duration, retention interval, and divided attention, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 19, (1) pp. 55-71. ISSN 1076-898X (2013) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2013 American Psychological Association

DOI: doi:10.1037/a0031602


Prior research points to a meaningful confidence-accuracy (CA) relationship for positive identification decisions. However, there are theoretical grounds for expecting that different aspects of the CA relationship (calibration, resolution, and over/underconfidence) might be undermined in some circumstances. This research investigated whether the CA relationship for eyewitness identification decisions is affected by three, forensically relevant variables: exposure duration, retention interval, and divided attention at encoding. In Study 1 (N = 986), a field experiment, we examined the effects of exposure duration (5 s vs. 90 s) and retention interval (immediate testing vs. a 1-week delay) on the CA relationship. In Study 2 (N = 502), we examined the effects of attention during encoding on the CA relationship by reanalyzing data from a laboratory experiment in which participants viewed a stimulus video under full or divided attention conditions and then attempted to identify two targets from separate lineups. Across both studies, all three manipulations affected identification accuracy. The central analyses concerned the CA relation for positive identification decisions. For the manipulations of exposure duration and retention interval, overconfidence was greater in the more difficult conditions (shorter exposure; delayed testing) than the easier conditions. Only the exposure duration manipulation influenced resolution (which was better for 5 s than 90 s), and only the retention interval manipulation affected calibration (which was better for immediate testing than delayed testing). In all experimental conditions, accuracy and diagnosticity increased with confidence, particularly at the upper end of the confidence scale. Implications for theory and forensic settings are discussed.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:eyewitness identification, confidence-accuracy calibration, exposure duration, retention
Research Division:Psychology
Research Group:Applied and developmental psychology
Research Field:Forensic psychology
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding knowledge in psychology
UTAS Author:Palmer, MA (Associate Professor Matt Palmer)
ID Code:83328
Year Published:2013
Web of Science® Times Cited:128
Deposited By:Psychology
Deposited On:2013-03-08
Last Modified:2017-11-07

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