eCite Digital Repository

It is time to prepare for the future: forecasting social trends


Han, SC and Chung, H and Kang, BH, It is time to prepare for the future: forecasting social trends, Proceedings of International Conferences EL, DTA and UNESST 2012 (Computer Applications for Database, Education, and Ubiquitous Computing), 16-19 December 2012, Gangneug, Korea, pp. 325-331. ISBN 978-3-642-35602-5 (2012) [Refereed Conference Paper]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2012 Springer

DOI: doi:10.1007/978-3-642-35603-2


A social issue is what arises when the public discuss a specific event. Recently, many large Internet based service companies provide new trends services that display the emerging issues based on their data, for example, Google displays "top 10 most searched topics" every hour. Those emerging issues reflect the trend of public interest. Forecasting those issues helps the user to prepare for the future. In this paper, we present our research on proposing the social issue-forecasting model. To do so, we first collected social issue keyword from Google Trends for 3 months since it is based on the large scale of public data. We apply the k-nearest neighbor algorithm, which is the pattern recognition technology for recognizing the complex patterns and trends. To improve the accuracy, we applied Ripple Down Rules.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Conference Paper
Keywords:Google trends, social Issue forecasting, social networking sites, web trends forecasting
Research Division:Information and Computing Sciences
Research Group:Distributed computing and systems software
Research Field:Service oriented computing
Objective Division:Information and Communication Services
Objective Group:Information systems, technologies and services
Objective Field:Information systems, technologies and services not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:Han, SC (Ms Caren Han)
UTAS Author:Chung, H (Mr David Chung)
UTAS Author:Kang, BH (Professor Byeong Kang)
ID Code:81904
Year Published:2012
Deposited By:Information and Communication Technology
Deposited On:2013-01-10
Last Modified:2018-03-27
Downloads:7 View Download Statistics

Repository Staff Only: item control page