Developments in storm tide modelling and risk assessment in the Australian region
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Harper, B and Hardy, T and Mason, LB and Fryar, R, Developments in storm tide modelling and risk assessment in the Australian region, Natural Hazards, 51, (1) pp. 225-238. ISSN 0921-030X (2009) [Refereed Article]
An overview is provided of some of the significant storm tide modelling and risk assessment studies undertaken over the past few years within Australia and the nearby oceanic regions for government and industry. Emphasis is placed on the need for integrated planning and forecasting approaches for storm tide risk assessment. The importance of the meteorological forcing and the appropriate modelling of each of the storm tide components, namely, astronomical tide, storm surge, breaking wave setup and coastal inundation is discussed. The critical role of tropical cyclone "best track" datasets for risk assessment studies and the potential impacts on design criteria and risk assessment studies is highlighted, together with the challenge of developing credible enhanced-greenhouse climate change scenarios. It is concluded that storm tide modelling needs to be undertaken in a holistic framework that considers the relative uncertainties in each of the various elements-atmospheric, hydrodynamic and data, as well as addressing operational forecasting, design and planning needs. © Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009.
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