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Extreme air pollution events from bushfires and dust storms and their association with mortality in Sydney, Australia 1994-2007
Citation
Johnston, F and Hanigan, I and Henderson, S and Morgan, G and Bowman, D, Extreme air pollution events from bushfires and dust storms and their association with mortality in Sydney, Australia 1994-2007, Environmental Research: A Journal of Environmental Medicine and The Environmental Sciences, 111, (6) pp. 811-816. ISSN 0013-9351 (2011) [Refereed Article]
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Copyright Statement
Copyright © 2011. The definitive version is available at http://www.sciencedirect.com
DOI: doi:10.1016/j.envres.2011.05.007
Abstract
INTRODUCTION: Extreme air pollution events due to bushfire smoke and dust storms are expected to increase as a consequence of climate change, yet little has been published about their population health impacts. We examined the association between air pollution events and mortality in Sydney from 1997 to 2004.
METHODS: Events were defined as days for which the 24h city-wide concentration of PM(10) exceeded the 99th percentile. All events were researched and categorised as being caused by either smoke or dust. We used a time-stratified case-crossover design with conditional logistic regression modelling adjusted for influenza epidemics, same day and lagged temperature and humidity. Reported odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals are for mortality on event days compared with non-event days. The contribution of elevated average temperatures to mortality during smoke events was explored.
RESULTS: There were 52 event days, 48 attributable to bushfire smoke, six to dust and two affected by both. Smoke events were associated with a 5% increase in non-accidental mortality at a lag of 1 day OR (95% confidence interval (CI)) 1.05 (95%CI: 1.00-1.10). When same day temperature was removed from the model, additional same day associations were observed with non-accidental mortality OR 1.05 (95%CI: 1.00-1.09), and with cardiovascular mortality OR (95%CI) 1.10 (95%CI: 1.00-1.20). Dust events were associated with a 15% increase in non-accidental mortality at a lag of 3 days, OR (95%CI) 1.16 (95%CI: 1.03-1.30).
CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude and temporal patterns of association with mortality were different for smoke and dust events. Public health advisories during bushfire smoke pollution episodes should include advice about hot weather in addition to air pollution.
Item Details
Item Type: | Refereed Article |
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Keywords: | Air pollution, Particulate matter, Bushfire smoke, Dust, Mortality |
Research Division: | Environmental Sciences |
Research Group: | Pollution and contamination |
Research Field: | Pollution and contamination not elsewhere classified |
Objective Division: | Environmental Management |
Objective Group: | Air quality, atmosphere and weather |
Objective Field: | Air quality, atmosphere and weather not elsewhere classified |
UTAS Author: | Johnston, F (Professor Fay Johnston) |
UTAS Author: | Hanigan, I (Mr Ivan Hanigan) |
UTAS Author: | Henderson, S (Associate Professor Sarah Henderson) |
UTAS Author: | Bowman, D (Professor David Bowman) |
ID Code: | 72267 |
Year Published: | 2011 |
Web of Science® Times Cited: | 188 |
Deposited By: | Menzies Institute for Medical Research |
Deposited On: | 2011-08-24 |
Last Modified: | 2012-03-22 |
Downloads: | 7 View Download Statistics |
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