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Providing Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Information for Risk Management and Decision-making


Goddard, L and Aitchellouche, Y and Baethgen, W and Dettinger, M and Graham, R and Hayman, P and Kadi, M and Martinez, R and Meinke, HB and Conrad, E, Providing Seasonal-to-Interannual Climate Information for Risk Management and Decision-making, Procedia Environmental Sciences 1, 31 August-04 September 2009, Geneva, pp. 81-101. (2010) [Refereed Conference Paper]

DOI: doi:10.1016/j.proenv.2010.09.007


Much has been learned in the interpretation and use of climate information since the 1997/1998 El Niño event that garnered so much attention. Seasonal-to-interannual forecasts are now produced around the world. However, mismatches in their scales, specificity or communication (of forecast content and uncertainties) with decision-maker needs still hinder their use. More work is needed to improve a) the utility of models, b) access to observational and model/forecast data, c) understanding and communication of the opportunities and limitations of forecasts, and d) methods by which decision systems use climate predictions – both through modifications of decision systems and more tailored forecast information. This white paper discusses these issues and recent advances in providing climate information needed in effective climate risk management. The paper advocates for the establishment and/or strengthening of "chains of experts and communications" to better enable appropriate and effective dissemination, assimilation and further use and application of climate information.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Conference Paper
Research Division:Earth Sciences
Research Group:Climate change science
Research Field:Climatology
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Adaptation to climate change
Objective Field:Climate change adaptation measures (excl. ecosystem)
UTAS Author:Meinke, HB (Professor Holger Meinke)
ID Code:71525
Year Published:2010
Deposited By:Research Division
Deposited On:2011-07-21
Last Modified:2022-07-12

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