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The vulnerability of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change: Part II - Integrating impacts with adaptive capacity

Citation

Nelson, R and Kokic, P and Crimp, S and Martin, P and Meinke, H and Howden, SM and deVoil, P and McKeon, G and Nidumolu, U, The vulnerability of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change: Part II - Integrating impacts with adaptive capacity, Environmental Science and Policy, 13, (1) pp. 18-27. ISSN 1462-9011 (2010) [Refereed Article]


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The definitive version is available at http://www.sciencedirect.com

Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com

DOI: doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2009.09.007

Abstract

In the first paper in this series [Nelson, R., Kokic, P., Crimp, S., Martin, P., Meinke, H.,Howden, S.M. (2010, this issue)], we concluded that hazard/impact modelling needs to be integrated with holistic measures of adaptive capacity in order to provide policy-relevant insights into the multiple and emergent dimensions of vulnerability. In this paper, we combine hazard/impact modelling with an holistic measure of adaptive capacity to analyse the vulnerability of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change. Bioeconomic modelling was used to model the exposure and sensitivity of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change. Rural livelihoods analysis was used as a conceptual framework to construct a composite index of adaptive capacity using farm survey data. We then show how this integrated measure of vulnerability provides policyrelevant insights into the constraints and options for building adaptive capacity in rural communities. In the process, we show that relying on hazard/impact modelling alone can lead to entirely erroneous conclusions about the vulnerability of rural communities, with potential to significantly misdirect policy intervention. We provide a preliminary assessment of which Australian rural communities are vulnerable to climate variability and change, and reveal a complex set of interacting environmental, economic and social factors contributing to vulnerability.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:Vulnerability; Adaptive capacity; Climate; Australia; Policy; Bioeconomic modelling
Research Division:Agricultural and Veterinary Sciences
Research Group:Agriculture, Land and Farm Management
Research Field:Sustainable Agricultural Development
Objective Division:Environment
Objective Group:Climate and Climate Change
Objective Field:Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Australia (excl. Social Impacts)
Author:Nelson, R (Associate Professor Rohan Nelson)
Author:Meinke, H (Professor Holger Meinke)
ID Code:71121
Year Published:2010
Web of Science® Times Cited:88
Deposited By:Agricultural Science
Deposited On:2011-07-08
Last Modified:2014-09-10
Downloads:21 View Download Statistics

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