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The vulnerability of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change: Part II - Integrating impacts with adaptive capacity
Citation
Nelson, R and Kokic, P and Crimp, S and Martin, P and Meinke, H and Howden, SM and deVoil, P and McKeon, G and Nidumolu, U, The vulnerability of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change: Part II - Integrating impacts with adaptive capacity, Environmental Science and Policy, 13, (1) pp. 18-27. ISSN 1462-9011 (2010) [Refereed Article]
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Copyright Statement
The definitive version is available at http://www.sciencedirect.com
Official URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com
DOI: doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2009.09.007
Abstract
In the first paper in this series [Nelson, R., Kokic, P., Crimp, S., Martin, P., Meinke, H.,Howden, S.M. (2010, this issue)], we concluded that hazard/impact modelling needs to be integrated with holistic measures of adaptive capacity in order to provide policy-relevant insights into the multiple and emergent dimensions of vulnerability. In this paper, we
combine hazard/impact modelling with an holistic measure of adaptive capacity to analyse the vulnerability of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change. Bioeconomic modelling was used to model the exposure and sensitivity of Australian rural communities to climate variability and change. Rural livelihoods analysis was used as a conceptual framework to construct a composite index of adaptive capacity using farm survey data. We then show how this integrated measure of vulnerability provides policyrelevant
insights into the constraints and options for building adaptive capacity in rural communities. In the process, we show that relying on hazard/impact modelling alone can lead to entirely erroneous conclusions about the vulnerability of rural communities, with potential to significantly misdirect policy intervention. We provide a preliminary assessment of which Australian rural communities are vulnerable to climate variability and change, and reveal a complex set of interacting environmental, economic and social factors
contributing to vulnerability.
Item Details
| Item Type: | Refereed Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | Vulnerability; Adaptive capacity; Climate; Australia; Policy; Bioeconomic modelling |
| Research Division: | Agricultural, Veterinary and Food Sciences |
| Research Group: | Agriculture, land and farm management |
| Research Field: | Sustainable agricultural development |
| Objective Division: | Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards |
| Objective Group: | Understanding climate change |
| Objective Field: | Effects of climate change on Australia (excl. social impacts) |
| UTAS Author: | Nelson, R (Associate Professor Rohan Nelson) |
| UTAS Author: | Meinke, H (Professor Holger Meinke) |
| ID Code: | 71121 |
| Year Published: | 2010 |
| Web of Science® Times Cited: | 177 |
| Deposited By: | Agricultural Science |
| Deposited On: | 2011-07-08 |
| Last Modified: | 2014-09-10 |
| Downloads: | 21 View Download Statistics |
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