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Financial integration and the construction of historical financial data for the Euro Area
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-17, 06:37 authored by Anderson, HM, Dungey, M, Osborn, DR, Vahid, FTime series analysis for the Euro Area requires the availability of sufficiently long historical data series, but the appropriate construction methodology has received little attention. The benchmark dataset, developed by the European Central Bank for use in its Area Wide Model (AWM), is based on fixed-weight aggregation across countries with historically distinct monetary policies and financial markets of varying international importance. This paper proposes a new methodology for producing back-dated financial series for the Euro Area, that is based on the time-varying distance of periphery countries from core countries with respect to monetary integration. Historical decompositions of the residuals of vector autoregressive models of the Euro Area economy are then used to explore and compare the monetary policy implications of using the new methodology versus the use of AWM fixed weight series.
History
Publication title
Economic ModellingVolume
28Issue
4Pagination
1498-1509ISSN
0264-9993Department/School
TSBEPublisher
ElsevierPlace of publication
HollandRights statement
The definitive version is available at http://www.sciencedirect.comRepository Status
- Restricted