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Environmental drivers of Ross River virus in southeastern Tasmania, Australia: towards strengthening public health interventions


Werner, AK and Goater, S and Carver, S and Robertson, G and Allen, GR and Weinstein, P, Environmental drivers of Ross River virus in southeastern Tasmania, Australia: towards strengthening public health interventions, Epidemiology and Infection, 140, (2) pp. 359-371. ISSN 0950-2688 (2012) [Refereed Article]

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Copyright Statement

Copyright 2011 Cambridge University

DOI: doi:10.1017/S0950268811000446


In Australia, Ross River virus (RRV) is predominantly identified and managed through passive health surveillance. Here, the proactive use of environmental datasets to improve community-scale public health interventions in southeastern Tasmania is explored. Known environmental drivers (temperature, rainfall, tide) of the RRV vector Aedes camptorhynchus are analysed against cumulative case records for five adjacent local government areas (LGAs) from 1993 to 2009. Allowing for a 0- to 3-month lag period, temperature was the most significant driver of RRV cases at 1-month lag, contributing to a 23.2% increase in cases above the long-term case average. The potential for RRV to become an emerging public health issue in Tasmania due to projected climate changes is discussed. Moreover, practical outputs from this research are proposed including the development of an early warning system for local councils to implement preventative measures, such as public outreach and mosquito spray programmes.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:Alphavirus, environmental drivers, predictive model, Ross River virus, Tasmania
Research Division:Agricultural, Veterinary and Food Sciences
Research Group:Other agricultural, veterinary and food sciences
Research Field:Other agricultural, veterinary and food sciences not elsewhere classified
Objective Division:Health
Objective Group:Other health
Objective Field:Other health not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:Carver, S (Associate Professor Scott Carver)
UTAS Author:Allen, GR (Associate Professor Geoff Allen)
ID Code:66946
Year Published:2012
Web of Science® Times Cited:23
Deposited By:Agricultural Science
Deposited On:2011-02-18
Last Modified:2017-11-06
Downloads:3 View Download Statistics

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