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A Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Database


James, MK and Mason, LB, A Synthetic Tropical Cyclone Database, Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering, 131, (4) pp. 181-192. ISSN 0733-950X (2005) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2005 ASCE

DOI: doi:10.1061/(ASCE)0733-950X(2005)131:4(181)


A mathematical model capable of simulating tropical cyclone tracks and central pressure histories over the Coral Sea, Australia, is described. The modeling approach assumes that each cyclone is an independent realization of the same underlying stochastic process. Relatively simple autoregressive models are used for the time series of latitude, longitude, and central pressure. The model is used to generate a large database of synthetic storms whose statistical characteristics are shown to simulate those of the population of real storms. Each synthetic storm can be used, in conjunction with a separately developed wind field model, to drive numerical models for computing wave heights and water levels (including storm surges) throughout the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park. In this way, the sample size available for estimating extreme wave heights and water levels is greatly increased.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Maritime engineering
Research Field:Marine engineering
Objective Division:Environmental Management
Objective Group:Marine systems and management
Objective Field:Oceanic processes (excl. in the Antarctic and Southern Ocean)
UTAS Author:Mason, LB (Mr Luciano Mason)
ID Code:49112
Year Published:2005
Web of Science® Times Cited:79
Deposited By:Australian Maritime College
Deposited On:2007-11-14
Last Modified:2014-11-03

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