eCite Digital Repository

The Use of Predictive Modelling in Impact Assessment: Implications for Environmental Legislation and Regulation

Citation

Duncan, R, The Use of Predictive Modelling in Impact Assessment: Implications for Environmental Legislation and Regulation, Australian Journal of Public Administration, 65, (1) pp. 75-88. ISSN 0313-6647 (2006) [Refereed Article]


Preview
PDF
Not available
229Kb
  

Copyright Statement

The definitive published version is available online at: http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/

DOI: doi:10.1111/j.1467-8500.2006.00473a.x

Abstract

Predictive modelling is now an indispensable tool in the identification of social, economic and environmental impacts and risks. This article appraises its use in the assessment of environmental impacts on the Gordon River of Basslink, the Bass Strait power cable that will plug Tasmania into the National Electricity Market. This study follows a proponent's knowledge claims derived from predictive modelling from their origin in researchers' reports to their legitimation as regulatory outcomes. By tracing two modelling comparisons, it will be shown that conclusions on the extent of environmental impacts on the Gordon River changed during the impact assessment process from being considered significant to insignificant and, consequently, how an invocation of environmental regulatory legislation was avoided. © National Council of the Institute of Public Administration Australia 2006.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Research Division:Environmental Sciences
Research Group:Environmental Science and Management
Research Field:Environmental Impact Assessment
Objective Division:Environment
Objective Group:Environmental Policy, Legislation and Standards
Objective Field:Environmental Policy, Legislation and Standards not elsewhere classified
Author:Duncan, R (Dr Ronlyn Duncan)
ID Code:40383
Year Published:2006
Web of Science® Times Cited:3
Deposited By:Geography and Environmental Studies
Deposited On:2006-08-01
Last Modified:2012-03-05
Downloads:0

Repository Staff Only: item control page