The Treatment of Uncertainty and the Structure of IUCN Threatened Species Categories

The classification of species with respect to their conservation status using the IUCN criteria is an important process in many countries, providing a guide for setting conservation priorities. Recent advances have resulted in several approaches to dealing with uncertainty in data used to classify species. These methods demand an unambiguous and transparent logical structure for the criteria. We suggest some changes to the ways in which the criteria are represented that correct an unnecessary inconsistency and which may serve to avoid important errors when uncertainty in the data is considered explicitly.