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Maximum utility portfolio construction in the forward freight agreement markets: Evidence from a multivariate skewed t copula
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-21, 13:29 authored by Gong, Y, Wang, X, Zhu, M, Ge, Y, Wenming ShiWenming ShiWe form portfolios consisting of diverse quarterly forward freight agreement (FFA) contracts to maximize the market participant's expected utility. The empirical findings indicate that individual FFA returns display clear autocorrelation, seasonality, fat tail, and heteroscedasticity. The multivariate positively skewed t copula is suggested for constructing maximum utility FFA portfolios, implying that the constituent FFA returns exhibit higher correlations when they rise together. The out-of-sample trading strategy performance metrics and various robustness checks further indicate that the aforementioned copula performs best and robustly for all portfolios. These findings provide profound methodological and managerial implications for market participants to improve risk management.
History
Publication title
The Journal of Futures MarketsVolume
43Pagination
69-89ISSN
0270-7314Department/School
Australian Maritime CollegePublisher
John Wiley & Sons IncPlace of publication
111 River St, Hoboken, USA, Nj, 07030Rights statement
© 2022 Wiley Periodicals LLC.Repository Status
- Restricted