File(s) under permanent embargo
Domino effect in marine accidents: Evidence from temporal association rules
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-20, 21:21 authored by Wang, L, Huang, R, Wenming ShiWenming Shi, Zhang, CMarine accidents cause not only significant economic losses, but also severe environmental pollution and inestimable human casualties, which have become a worldwide concern. To better cope with this concern, this paper adopts temporal association rules (TARs) to mine and discover the domino effect in marine accidents. Using the dataset of 5754 marine domino accidents (MDAs) collected from the International Maritime Organization and IHS Markit Company, the main findings of this paper are as follows. First, 'hull damage' was found to be the most frequent accident in MDAs, and 'collision' was more likely to cause the damage in the whole hull. Second, 'oil spill' was most often observed as a final marine accident. Meanwhile, 'foundered' was more likely to cause 'oil spill' in both oil tanker and general cargo ship MDAs. Third, it is pointed out that most probable scenarios involved 'hull damage' as the basic accident which ended with 'foundered' and 'oil spill' as top accidents. These findings not only advance our knowledge of marine accidents from the perspective of the domino effect, but also provide insights into improving marine safety.
History
Publication title
Transport PolicyVolume
103Pagination
236-244ISSN
0967-070XDepartment/School
Australian Maritime CollegePublisher
ElsevierPlace of publication
United KingdomRights statement
© 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Repository Status
- Restricted