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Lack of cool, not warm, extremes distinguishes late 20th Century climate in 979-year Tasmanian summer temperature reconstruction


Allen, KJ and Cook, ER and Evans, R and Francey, R and Buckley, BM and Palmer, JG and Peterson, MJ and Baker, PJ, Lack of cool, not warm, extremes distinguishes late 20th Century climate in 979-year Tasmanian summer temperature reconstruction, Environmental Research Letters, 13, (3) Article 034041. ISSN 1748-9318 (2018) [Refereed Article]


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Copyright 2018 The Authors. Original content from this work may be used under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 licence

DOI: doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aaafd7


Very few annually resolved millennial-length temperature reconstructions exist for the Southern Hemisphere. Here we present four 979-year reconstructions for southeastern Australia for the austral summer months of December–February. Two of the reconstructions are based on the Australian Water Availability Project dataset and two on the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature dataset. For each climate data set, one reconstruction is based solely on Lagarostrobos franklinii (restricted reconstructions) while the other is based on multiple Tasmanian conifer species (unrestricted reconstructions). Each reconstruction calibrates ~50−60% of the variance in the temperature datasets depending on the number of tree-ring records available for the reconstruction. We found little difference in the temporal variability of the reconstructions, although extremes are amplified in the restricted reconstructions relative to the unrestricted reconstructions. The reconstructions highlight the occurrence of numerous individual years, especially in the 15th−17th Centuries, for which temperatures were comparable with those of the late 20th Century. The 1950−1999 period, however, stands out as the warmest 50-year period on average for the past 979 years, with a sustained shift away from relatively low mean temperatures, the length of which is unique in the 979-year record. The reconstructions are strongly and positively related to temperatures across the southeast of the Australian continent, negatively related to temperatures in the north and northeast of the continent, and uncorrelated with temperatures in the west. The lack of a strong relationship with temperatures across the continent highlights the necessity of a sub-regional focus for Australasian temperature reconstructions.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:Australia, Tasmania, temperature reconstruction, tree-ring chronology, wood properties
Research Division:Earth Sciences
Research Group:Physical geography and environmental geoscience
Research Field:Palaeoclimatology
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding knowledge in the earth sciences
UTAS Author:Allen, KJ (Dr Kathy Allen)
ID Code:142804
Year Published:2018
Web of Science® Times Cited:12
Deposited By:Geography and Spatial Science
Deposited On:2021-02-11
Last Modified:2021-06-25
Downloads:15 View Download Statistics

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