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Are emission reduction policies effective under climate change conditions? A backcasting and exploratory scenario approach using the LEAPOSeMOSYS Model
Citation
Emodi, NV and Chaiechi, T and Rabiul Alam Beg, ABM, Are emission reduction policies effective under climate change conditions? A backcasting and exploratory scenario approach using the LEAPOSeMOSYS Model, Applied Energy, 236 pp. 1183-1217. ISSN 0306-2619 (2019) [Refereed Article]
Copyright Statement
Copyright 201 Elsevier Ltd
DOI: doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2018.12.045
Abstract
The power sector exercises huge impacts on global warming through emitted greenhouse gases [GHGs], with
Australia not an exception. Over the years, the effectiveness of policies that have emerged to curtail GHGs
emissions from electricity generation seem barely investigated. To address this gap, the study identifies potential
energy reduction policies and climate change scenarios for the Australian power sector by applying approaches
from combined backcasting and exploratory scenario. The Long-range Energy Alternative Planning (LEAP)
system and its integrated Open Source Energy Modelling System (OSeMOSYS) was used for optimisation analysis. Results identified cost optimisation scenarios as a least-cost generation pathway with less climate change
impact, followed by renewable energy target and energy productivity scenarios. Economic analysis shows that
emission reduction policy will result in added cost to the economy, while carbon tax policies will yield economic
benefit in installation cost, resource savings and environmental externalities reductions by 2050. The environmental analysis reveals that emission reduction policy will increase cumulative emissions, while future temperatures may double the emissions from the base case scenario. We conclude that future low-carbon pathways
lie in clean energy substitutions and innovative energy policies, while global warming raises the need to switch
to clean energy technologies early.
Item Details
Item Type: | Refereed Article |
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Keywords: | LEAP, OSeMOSYS, Australia, climate change, emission reduction policy, optimisation |
Research Division: | Economics |
Research Group: | Applied economics |
Research Field: | Environment and resource economics |
Objective Division: | Energy |
Objective Group: | Energy storage, distribution and supply |
Objective Field: | Energy systems and analysis |
UTAS Author: | Emodi, NV (Mr Nnaemeka Emodi) |
ID Code: | 141881 |
Year Published: | 2019 |
Web of Science® Times Cited: | 11 |
Deposited By: | Sociology and Criminology |
Deposited On: | 2020-12-01 |
Last Modified: | 2021-02-10 |
Downloads: | 0 |
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