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COVID-19 time series forecast using transmission rate and meteorological parameters as features
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-20, 19:07 authored by Mousavimirkalaei, M, Salgotra, R, Damien HollowayDamien Holloway, Gandomi, AHThe number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 has been ever increasing worldwide since its outbreak in Wuhan, China. As such, many researchers have sought to predict the dynamics of the virus spread in different parts of the globe. In this paper, a novel systematic platform for prediction of the future number of confirmed cases of COVID-19 is proposed, based on several factors such as transmission rate, temperature, and humidity. The proposed strategy derives systematically a set of appropriate features for training Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN). To that end, the number of confirmed cases (CC) of COVID-19 in three states of India (Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu and Gujarat) is taken as a case study. It has been noted that stationary and nonstationary parts of the features improved the prediction of the stationary and non-stationary trends of the number of confirmed cases, respectively. The new platform has general application and can be used for pandemic time series forecasting.
History
Publication title
IEEE Computational Intelligence MagazineVolume
15Issue
4Pagination
34-50ISSN
1556-603XDepartment/School
School of EngineeringPublisher
IEEEPlace of publication
United StatesRights statement
Copyright 2020 IEEE. This article is free to access and download, along with rights for full text and data mining, re-use and analysisRepository Status
- Restricted