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Pooled time series modeling reveals smoking habit memory pattern


Rosel, JF and Elipe-Miravet, M and Elosegui, E and Flor-Arasil, P and Machancoses, FH and Pallares, J and Puchol, S and Canales, JJ, Pooled time series modeling reveals smoking habit memory pattern, Frontiers in Psychiatry, 11 pp. 1-8. ISSN 1664-0640 (2020) [Refereed Article]


Copyright Statement

Copyright © 2020 Rosel, Elipe-Miravet, Elósegui, Flor-Arasil, Machancoses, Pallarés, Puchol and Canales. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)

DOI: doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2020.00049


Smoking is a habit that is hard to break because nicotine is highly addictive and smoking behavior is strongly linked to multiple daily activities and routines. Here, we explored the effect of gender, age, day of the week, and previous smoking on the number of cigarettes smoked on any given day. Data consisted of daily records of the number of cigarettes participants smoked over an average period of 84 days. The sample included smokers (36 men and 26 women), aged between 18 and 26 years, who smoked at least five cigarettes a day and had smoked for at least 2 years. A panel data analysis was performed by way of multilevel pooled time series modeling. Smoking on any given day was a function of the number of cigarettes smoked on the previous day, and 2, 7, 14, 21, 28, 35, 42, 49, and 56 days previously, and the day of the week. Neither gender nor age influenced this pattern, with no multilevel effects being detected, thus the behavior of all participants fitted the same smoking model. These novel findings show empirically that smoking behavior is governed by firmly established temporal dependence patterns and inform temporal parameters for the rational design of smoking cessation programs.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:tobacco, pooled time series, panel time series, intensive data analysis, memory, multilevel regression
Research Division:Psychology
Research Group:Biological psychology
Research Field:Behavioural neuroscience
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding knowledge in psychology
UTAS Author:Canales, JJ (Professor Juan Canales)
ID Code:140234
Year Published:2020
Web of Science® Times Cited:1
Deposited By:Psychology
Deposited On:2020-08-03
Last Modified:2020-09-16
Downloads:20 View Download Statistics

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