Climate change is leading to shifts in species geographical distributions, but populations are also probably adapting to environmental change at different rates across their range. Owing to a lack of natural and empirical data on the influence of phenotypic adaptation on range shifts of marine species, we provide a general conceptual model for understanding population responses to climate change that incorporates plasticity and adaptation to environmental change in marine ecosystems. We use this conceptual model to help inform where within the geographical range each mechanism will probably operate most strongly and explore the supporting evidence in species. We then expand the discussion from a single-species perspective to community-level responses and use the conceptual model to visualize and guide research into the important yet poorly understood processes of plasticity and adaptation.

Item Type:	Refereed Article
Keywords:	climate change, marine ecology, phenotypic plasticity, range shift, species distribution, species range limits
Research Division:	Biological Sciences
Research Group:	Ecology
Research Field:	Marine and estuarine ecology (incl. marine ichthyology)
Objective Division:	Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:	Adaptation to climate change
Objective Field:	Ecosystem adaptation to climate change
UTAS Author:	Johnson, CR (Professor Craig Johnson)
UTAS Author:	Leis, JM (Dr Jeff Leis)
UTAS Author:	Ling, SD (Dr Scott Ling)
UTAS Author:	Pecl, G (Professor Gretta Pecl)
ID Code:	130464
Year Published:	2019
Web of Science® Times Cited:	80
Deposited By:	Ecology and Biodiversity
Deposited On:	2019-01-29
Last Modified:	2021-01-12
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