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Miscalibration of self-efficacy and academic performance: self-efficacy ≠ self-fulfilling prophecy


Talsma, K and Schuz, B and Norris, K, Miscalibration of self-efficacy and academic performance: self-efficacy ≠ self-fulfilling prophecy, Learning and Individual Differences, 69 pp. 182-195. ISSN 1041-6080 (2019) [Refereed Article]


Copyright Statement

2018 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

DOI: doi:10.1016/j.lindif.2018.11.002


While it has been consistently demonstrated that academic self-efficacy and performance are positively correlated in groups of students, little is known about whether individual students' academic self-efficacy levels align with their own performance abilities. At the same time, researchers contest whether self-efficacy should align with performance abilities to be of most benefit to students. In this study, we applied procedures used in the meta-cognitive calibration paradigm to investigate the alignment between academic self-efficacy and academic performance (i.e., self-efficacy calibration) in higher education. Undergraduate students (n = 207) completed five self-efficacy questionnaires with regard to academic performance outcomes in one subject over a semester (two written assignments, two exams, and the subject overall). Five corresponding grades were also collected. We calculated two types of self-efficacy calibration scores: self-efficacy accuracy (the deviation between self-efficacy and performance) and self-efficacy bias (the signed difference [i.e., valence]; over- and under-efficaciousness). Miscalibration of self-efficacy beliefs was prevalent, consistent with findings regarding meta-cognitive calibration. Under-efficaciousness was common at task level (for written assignments and exams), while over-efficaciousness was pronounced at domain level (for the subject overall). Self-efficacy exceeded performance for low-achievers, while it fell short of performance for high-achievers. A key finding was that self-efficacy bias predicted academic performance on similar subsequent tasks, with under-efficacious students performing better than accurate or over-efficacious students. Findings suggest self-efficacy is not a self-fulfilling prophecy; instead, over-efficacious students may experience negative impacts on academic self-regulation and performance.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:self-efficacy, academic performance, accuracy, bias, calibration
Research Division:Psychology
Research Group:Applied and developmental psychology
Research Field:Educational psychology
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding knowledge in education
UTAS Author:Talsma, K (Dr Kate Talsma)
UTAS Author:Schuz, B (Dr Benjamin Schuz)
UTAS Author:Norris, K (Professor Kimberley Norris)
ID Code:129423
Year Published:2019 (online first 2018)
Web of Science® Times Cited:28
Deposited By:Psychology
Deposited On:2018-11-29
Last Modified:2019-08-26
Downloads:20 View Download Statistics

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