eCite Digital Repository

The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave


Perkins-Kirkpatrick, SE and King, AD and Cougnon, EA and Grose, MR and Oliver, ECJ and Holbrook, NJ and Lewis, SC and Pourasghar, F, The role of natural variability and anthropogenic climate change in the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100, (1) pp. 105-110. ISSN 0003-0007 (2019) [Refereed Article]


Copyright Statement

© 2018 American Meteorological Society (AMS). Permission to use figures, tables, and brief excerpts from this work in scientific and educational works is hereby granted provided that the source is acknowledged. Any use of material in this work that is determined to be “fair use” under Section 107 of the U.S. Copyright Act or that satisfies the conditions specified in Section 108 of the U.S. Copyright Act (17 USC §108) does not require the AMS’s permission. Republication, systematic reproduction, posting in electronic form, such as on a website or in a searchable database, or other uses of this material, except as exempted by the above statement, requires written permission or a license from the AMS. All AMS journals and monograph publications are registered with the Copyright Clearance Center ( Questions about permission to use materials for which AMS holds the copyright can also be directed to Additional details are provided in the AMS Copyright Policy statement, available on the AMS website (

DOI: doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0116.1


Two GCM ensembles indicate that the record sea surface temperatures during the 2017/18 Tasman Sea marine heatwave were virtually impossible without anthropogenic influence. However, natural variability was important in the atmospheric initiation of the event.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:marine heatwave, climate change, Tasman Sea
Research Division:Earth Sciences
Research Group:Oceanography
Research Field:Physical oceanography
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Understanding climate change
Objective Field:Climate variability (excl. social impacts)
UTAS Author:Cougnon, EA (Dr Eva Cougnon)
UTAS Author:Holbrook, NJ (Professor Neil Holbrook)
ID Code:128917
Year Published:2019
Web of Science® Times Cited:35
Deposited By:Oceans and Cryosphere
Deposited On:2018-10-24
Last Modified:2022-08-29
Downloads:38 View Download Statistics

Repository Staff Only: item control page