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Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere

journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-22, 05:46 authored by Power, S, Saurral, R, Chung, C, Colman, R, Kharin, V, Boer, G, Gergis, J, Henley, B, McGregor, S, Arblaster, J, Neil HolbrookNeil Holbrook, Liguori, G
Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.

History

Publication title

Past Global Changes Magazine

Volume

25

Pagination

32-40

ISSN

2411-605X

Department/School

Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies

Publisher

PAGES International Project Office

Place of publication

Switzerland

Repository Status

  • Restricted

Socio-economic Objectives

Climate variability (excl. social impacts)

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