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Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere


Power, S and Saurral, R and Chung, C and Colman, R and Kharin, V and Boer, G and Gergis, J and Henley, B and McGregor, S and Arblaster, J and Holbrook, N and Liguori, G, Towards the prediction of multi-year to decadal climate variability in the Southern Hemisphere, Past Global Changes Magazine, 25, (1) pp. 32-40. ISSN 2411-605X (2017) [Professional, Refereed Article]

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DOI: doi:10.22498/pages.25.1.32


Multi-year (2-7 years) and decadal climate variability (MDCV) can have a profound influence on lives, livelihoods and economies. Consequently, learning more about the causes of this variability, the extent to which it can be predicted, and the greater the clarity that we can provide on the climatic conditions that will unfold over coming years and decades is a high priority for the research community. This importance is reflected in new initiatives by WCRP, CLIVAR, and in the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (Boer et al., 2016) that target this area of research. Here we briefly examine some of the things we know, and have recently learnt, about the causes and predictability of Southern Hemisphere MDCV (SH MDCV), and current skill in its prediction.

Item Details

Item Type:Professional, Refereed Article
Keywords:climate variability, Southern Ocean, ENSO
Research Division:Earth Sciences
Research Group:Oceanography
Research Field:Physical oceanography
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Understanding climate change
Objective Field:Climate variability (excl. social impacts)
UTAS Author:Holbrook, N (Professor Neil Holbrook)
ID Code:127797
Year Published:2017
Deposited By:Oceans and Cryosphere
Deposited On:2018-08-16
Last Modified:2018-08-16

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