Retention prediction in reversed phase high performance liquid chromatography using quantitative structure-retention relationships applied to the Hydrophobic Subtraction Model

Quantitative Structure-Retention Relationships (QSRR) methodology combined with the Hydrophobic Subtraction Model (HSM) have been utilized to accurately predict retention times for a selection of analytes on several different reversed phase liquid chromatography (RPLC) columns. This approach is designed to facilitate early prediction of co-elution of analytes, for example in pharmaceutical drug discovery applications where it is advantageous to predict whether impurities might be co-eluted with the active drug component. The QSRR model utilized VolSurf+ descriptors and a Partial Least Squares regression combined with a Genetic Algorithm (GA-PLS) to predict the solute coefficients in the HSM. It was found that only the hydrophobicity (η' H) term in the HSM was required to give the accuracy necessary to predict potential co-elution of analytes. Global QSRR models derived from all 148 compounds in the dataset were compared to QSRR models derived using a range of local modelling techniques based on clustering of compounds in the dataset by the structural similarity of compounds (as represented by the Tanimoto similarity index), physico-chemical similarity of compounds (represented by log D), the neutral, acidic, or basic nature of the compound, and the second dominant interaction between analyte and stationary phase after hydrophobicity. The global model showed reasonable prediction accuracy for retention time with errors of 30 s and less for up to 50% of modeled compounds. The local models for Tanimoto, nature of the compound and second dominant interaction approaches all exhibited prediction errors less than 30 s in retention time for nearly 70% of compounds for which models could be derived. Predicted retention times of five representative compounds on nine reversed-phase columns were compared with known experimental retention data for these columns and this comparison showed that the accuracy of the proposed modelling approach is sufficient to reliably predict the retention times of analytes based only on their chemical structures.