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Scenario based risk management for Arctic shipping and operations


Ehlers, S and Kujala, P and Veitch, B and Khan, FI and Vanhatalo, J, Scenario based risk management for Arctic shipping and operations, Proceedings of the ASME 2014 33rd International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2014, 8-13 June 2014, San Francisco, USA, pp. V010T07A00-1 - 8. ISBN 9780791845561 (2014) [Refereed Conference Paper]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2014 ASME

DOI: doi:10.1115/OMAE2014-23112


Arctic oil and gas explorations and Arctic shipping must ensure the safety and protection of this sensitive environment in spite of the challenging operational conditions. However, current regulations and assessment methods do not predict the associated risk level reliably. In other words, ships transiting ice-covered waters are not designed according to physical measures, such as accurate limit states under ice loading, but according to economic and empirical design measures. Similarly, offshore installations should be designed according to the accurate limit states, but the actual ice loads are uncertain so this is not possible at present. Risk-based design methodologies using first principal methods offer a way to advance safe operations and transport of natural resources within and out of the Arctic Sea. This paper introduces a holistic treatment of the design relevant features and their identification to improve safe Arctic operations and transport. The focus is on design relevant Arctic aspects related to extreme and accidental ice events. The approach includes estimating ice loads, including extreme load events, assessing structural consequences of the loading events, assessing associated potential environmental consequences, and establishing a risk based design framework for managing risks. Copyright © 2014 by ASME.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Conference Paper
Keywords:design, ice, offshore structures, risk assessment, risk management, risk perception, ships, Arctic operations, current regulations, environmental consequences, offshore installations, oil and gas exploration, operational conditions, loading
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Engineering practice and education
Research Field:Risk engineering
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Natural hazards
Objective Field:Natural hazards not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:Khan, FI (Professor Faisal Khan)
ID Code:120722
Year Published:2014
Deposited By:NC Maritime Engineering and Hydrodynamics
Deposited On:2017-08-30
Last Modified:2018-04-05

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