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Accident modelling and analysis in process industries
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-19, 10:38 authored by Al-shanini, A, Ahmad, A, Faisal KhanFaisal KhanAccident modelling is a methodology used to relate the causes and effects of events that lead to accidents. This modelling effectively seeks to answer two main questions: (i) Why does an accident occur, and (ii) How does it occur. This paper presents a review of accident models that have been developed for the chemical process industry with in-depth analyses of a class of models known as dynamic sequential accident models (DSAMs). DSAMs are sequential models with a systematic procedure to utilise precursor data to estimate the posterior risk profile quantitatively. DSAM also offers updates on the failure probabilities of accident barriers and the prediction of future end states. Following a close scrutiny of these methodologies, several limitations are noted and discussed, and based on these insights, future work is suggested to enhance and improve this category of models further.
History
Publication title
Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process IndustriesVolume
32Pagination
319-334ISSN
0950-4230Department/School
Australian Maritime CollegePublisher
Elsevier Sci LtdPlace of publication
United KingdomRights statement
© 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Repository Status
- Restricted