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An accident model for arctic shipping
conference contribution
posted on 2023-05-23, 12:37 authored by Smith, D, Veitch, B, Faisal KhanFaisal Khan, Taylor, RThis paper examines historical Arctic marine accidents from 1995-2004. It was seen during this time period that sinking and grounding of (fishing) vessels was the most common type of Arctic marine accident. A comprehensive accident model is presented to describe Arctic shipping accidents and their causation factors. The accident model is based on epidemiological concepts which explain how non-sequential factors result in an unwanted outcome, analogous to disease spreading through a human body. The causation factors are nonsequential and non-linearly dependent. The applicability of the model is demonstrated through examination of two past accidents: the Kolskaya and the Kulluk. Detailed description of how the accident model could be used for predictive accident modelling and risk analysis of Arctic shipping scenarios is also presented.
History
Publication title
Proceedings of the ASME 2015 34th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2015Pagination
1-7ISBN
9780791856475Department/School
Australian Maritime CollegePublisher
American Society of Mechanical EngineersPlace of publication
USAEvent title
ASME 2015 34th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 201Event Venue
St John's, CanadaDate of Event (Start Date)
2015-05-31Date of Event (End Date)
2015-06-05Rights statement
Copyright 2015 ASMERepository Status
- Restricted