eCite Digital Repository

An accident model for arctic shipping


Smith, D and Veitch, B and Khan, FI and Taylor, R, An accident model for arctic shipping, Proceedings of the ASME 2015 34th International Conference on Ocean, Offshore and Arctic Engineering, OMAE 2015, 31 May - 5 June 2015, St John's, Canada, pp. V001T01A047-1 - 7. ISBN 9780791856475 (2015) [Refereed Conference Paper]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2015 ASME

DOI: doi:10.1115/OMAE2015-41415


This paper examines historical Arctic marine accidents from 1995-2004. It was seen during this time period that sinking and grounding of (fishing) vessels was the most common type of Arctic marine accident. A comprehensive accident model is presented to describe Arctic shipping accidents and their causation factors. The accident model is based on epidemiological concepts which explain how non-sequential factors result in an unwanted outcome, analogous to disease spreading through a human body. The causation factors are nonsequential and non-linearly dependent. The applicability of the model is demonstrated through examination of two past accidents: the Kolskaya and the Kulluk. Detailed description of how the accident model could be used for predictive accident modelling and risk analysis of Arctic shipping scenarios is also presented.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Conference Paper
Keywords:Arctic engineering, fishing vessels, risk analysis, risk assessment, risk perception. ships, accident models, Arctic marine, Arctic shipping, causation factors, disease spreading. human bodies, nonsequential, time-periods, accidents
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Engineering practice and education
Research Field:Risk engineering
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Natural hazards
Objective Field:Natural hazards not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:Khan, FI (Professor Faisal Khan)
ID Code:120689
Year Published:2015
Deposited By:NC Maritime Engineering and Hydrodynamics
Deposited On:2017-08-30
Last Modified:2017-10-17

Repository Staff Only: item control page