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Delay risk analysis of ship sailing the northern sea route


Marken, VB and Ehlers, S and Khan, FI, Delay risk analysis of ship sailing the northern sea route, Ship Technology Research, 62, (1) pp. 26-35. ISSN 0937-7255 (2015) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2015 University of Duisburg-Essen

DOI: doi:10.1179/0937725515Z.0000000007


The northern sea route (NSR) has evolved as an international trade route alternative from 2009. The lack of understanding and the lack of information are two key elements restricting the use of the NSR. Therefore, this paper seeks to overcome those restrictions with a bow-tie analysis to qualitatively perform a risk analysis with a fuzzy set theory to model uncertainness in the data.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:Arctic shipping, bow-tie analysis, defuzzification, fuzzy set theory, information updating, uncertainty modelling, fuzzy set theory, fuzzy sets, international trade, risk assessment, set theory, ships, transportation routes, uncertainty analysis
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Engineering practice and education
Research Field:Risk engineering
Objective Division:Transport
Objective Group:Water transport
Objective Field:International sea freight transport (excl. live animals, food products and liquefied gas)
UTAS Author:Khan, FI (Professor Faisal Khan)
ID Code:120684
Year Published:2015
Deposited By:NC Maritime Engineering and Hydrodynamics
Deposited On:2017-08-30
Last Modified:2017-10-17

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