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Sea-level rise from the late 19th to the early 21st Century


Church, JA and White, NJ, Sea-level rise from the late 19th to the early 21st Century, Surveys in Geophysics, 32, (4-5) pp. 585-602. ISSN 0169-3298 (2011) [Refereed Article]


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Copyright The Author(s) 2011. This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution Noncommercial License which permits any noncommercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author(s) and source are credited.

DOI: doi:10.1007/s10712-011-9119-1


We estimate the rise in global average sea level from satellite altimeter data for 1993-2009 and from coastal and island sea-level measurements from 1880 to 2009. For 1993-2009 and after correcting for glacial isostatic adjustment, the estimated rate of rise is 3.2 0.4 mm year-1 from the satellite data and 2.8 0.8 mm year-1 from the in situ data. The global average sea-level rise from 1880 to 2009 is about 210 mm. The linear trend from 1900 to 2009 is 1.7 0.2 mm year-1 and since 1961 is 1.9 0.4 mm year-1. There is considerable variability in the rate of rise during the twentieth century but there has been a statistically significant acceleration since 1880 and 1900 of 0.009 0.003 mm year-2 and 0.009 0.004 mm year-2, respectively. Since the start of the altimeter record in 1993, global average sea level rose at a rate near the upper end of the sea level projections of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's Third and Fourth Assessment Reports. However, the reconstruction indicates there was little net change in sea level from 1990 to 1993, most likely as a result of the volcanic eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:climate change, satellite altimeter, sea level, tide gauge
Research Division:Earth Sciences
Research Group:Oceanography
Research Field:Physical oceanography
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Understanding climate change
Objective Field:Climate change models
UTAS Author:Church, JA (Dr John Church)
ID Code:119753
Year Published:2011
Web of Science® Times Cited:966
Deposited By:Oceans and Cryosphere
Deposited On:2017-08-04
Last Modified:2017-10-16
Downloads:166 View Download Statistics

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