eCite Digital Repository

Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change


Bell, JD and Ganachaud, A and Gehrke, PC and Griffiths, SP and Hobday, AJ and Hoegh-Guldberg, O and Johnson, JE and Le Borgne, R and Lehodey, P and Lough, JM and Matear, R and Pickering, TD and Pratchett, MS and Sen Gupta, A and Senina, I and Waycott, M, Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change, Nature Climate Change, 3, (6) pp. 591-599. ISSN 1758-678X (2013) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

2013 Macmillan Publishers Limited

DOI: doi:10.1038/nclimate1838


Pacific Island countries have an extraordinary dependence on fisheries and aquaculture. Maintaining the benefits from the sector is a difficult task, now made more complex by climate change. Here we report how changes to the atmosphere-ocean are likely to affect the food webs, habitats and stocks underpinning fisheries and aquaculture across the region. We found winners and losers - tuna are expected to be more abundant in the east and freshwater aquaculture and fisheries are likely to be more productive. Conversely, coral reef fisheries could decrease by 20% by 2050 and coastal aquaculture may be less efficient. We demonstrate how the economic and social implications can be addressed within the sector - tuna and freshwater aquaculture can help support growing populations as coral reefs, coastal fisheries and mariculture decline.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:fisheries, aquaculture, climate change, Pacific Ocean
Research Division:Environmental Sciences
Research Group:Climate change impacts and adaptation
Research Field:Ecological impacts of climate change and ecological adaptation
Objective Division:Environmental Policy, Climate Change and Natural Hazards
Objective Group:Understanding climate change
Objective Field:Effects of climate change on the South Pacific (excl. Australia and New Zealand) (excl. social impacts)
UTAS Author:Hobday, AJ (Dr Alistair Hobday)
UTAS Author:Matear, R (Dr Richard Matear)
ID Code:119450
Year Published:2013
Web of Science® Times Cited:211
Deposited By:Fisheries and Aquaculture
Deposited On:2017-08-01
Last Modified:2017-09-25

Repository Staff Only: item control page