117544 - Mapping Scenario Narratives.pdf (1.33 MB)
Mapping scenario narratives: a technique to enhance landscape-scale biodiversity planning
journal contribution
posted on 2023-05-19, 06:05 authored by Carter, O, Mitchell, MS, Porfririo, LL, Hugh, S, Michael LockwoodMichael Lockwood, Louise GilfedderLouise Gilfedder, Edward LefroyEdward LefroyDeveloping regional scenarios enables planners to engage land managers in discussions about the future, especially in contexts that are complex, uncertain and difficult to control. Richly-crafted qualitative narratives are an effective way to document future scenarios that integrate social, economic and biophysical attributes. Converting such narratives into spatial representations of future landscapes often relies on computational modelling. This paper presents an alternative technique. Key themes from scenario narratives are translated into spatial representations using simple rule sets within a Geographic Information System (GIS). The technique was applied to a case study exploring future scenarios for biodiversity in a predominantly privately-owned agricultural landscape. Iterative analysis of scenarios and their spatial implications enables land managers to explore outcomes from potential interventions and identify strategies that might mitigate the impact of future issues of environmental concern.
Funding
Department of Environment and Energy (Cwth)
History
Publication title
Conservation and SocietyVolume
15Pagination
179-188ISSN
0975-3133Department/School
School of Geography, Planning and Spatial SciencesPublisher
Medknow Publications and Media Pvt. Ltd.Place of publication
IndiaRights statement
© Carter et al. 2017. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Generic (CC BY 2.5) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/Repository Status
- Open