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Mapping scenario narratives: a technique to enhance landscape-scale biodiversity planning

Citation

Carter, O and Mitchell, MS and Porfririo, LL and Hugh, S and Lockwood, M and Gilfedder, LA and Lefroy, EC, Mapping scenario narratives: a technique to enhance landscape-scale biodiversity planning, Conservation and Society, 15, (2) pp. 179-188. ISSN 0975-3133 (2017) [Refereed Article]


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Copyright Statement

Carter et al. 2017. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 2.5 Generic (CC BY 2.5) https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.5/

DOI: doi:10.4103/cs.cs_15_121

Abstract

Developing regional scenarios enables planners to engage land managers in discussions about the future, especially in contexts that are complex, uncertain and difficult to control. Richly-crafted qualitative narratives are an effective way to document future scenarios that integrate social, economic and biophysical attributes. Converting such narratives into spatial representations of future landscapes often relies on computational modelling. This paper presents an alternative technique. Key themes from scenario narratives are translated into spatial representations using simple rule sets within a Geographic Information System (GIS). The technique was applied to a case study exploring future scenarios for biodiversity in a predominantly privately-owned agricultural landscape. Iterative analysis of scenarios and their spatial implications enables land managers to explore outcomes from potential interventions and identify strategies that might mitigate the impact of future issues of environmental concern.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:spatial planning, alternative futures, scenario visualisation, landscape change, private land conservation, Tasmanian Midlands
Research Division:Environmental Sciences
Research Group:Environmental Science and Management
Research Field:Conservation and Biodiversity
Objective Division:Environment
Objective Group:Remnant Vegetation and Protected Conservation Areas
Objective Field:Remnant Vegetation and Protected Conservation Areas at Regional or Larger Scales
Author:Mitchell, MS (Dr Michael Mitchell)
Author:Lockwood, M (Associate Professor Michael Lockwood)
Author:Gilfedder, LA (Ms Louise Gilfedder)
Author:Lefroy, EC (Professor Ted Lefroy)
ID Code:117544
Year Published:2017
Web of Science® Times Cited:2
Deposited By:Geography and Spatial Science
Deposited On:2017-06-20
Last Modified:2017-11-21
Downloads:9 View Download Statistics

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