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Revisiting Chamberlin: multiple working hypotheses for the 21st century
The method of multiple working hypotheses, developed by the 19th-century geologist T. C. Chamberlin, is an important philosophical contribution to the domain of hypothesis construction in science. Indeed, the concept is particularly pertinent to recent debate over the relative merits of two different statistical paradigms: null hypothesis testing and model selection. The theoretical foundations of model selection are often poorly understood by practitioners of null hypothesis testing, and even many proponents of Chamberlin's method may not fully appreciate its historical basis. We contend that the core of Chamberlin's message, communicated over a century ago, has often been forgotten or misrepresented. Therefore, we revisit his ideas in light of modern developments. The original source has great value to contemporary ecology and many related disciplines, communicating thoughtful consideration of both complexity and causality and providing hard-earned wisdom applicable to this new age of uncertainty.
History
Publication title
BioscienceVolume
57Issue
7Pagination
608-614ISSN
0006-3568Department/School
School of Natural SciencesPublisher
Amer Inst Biological SciPlace of publication
1444 Eye St, Nw, Ste 200, Washington, USA, Dc, 20005Rights statement
Copyright 2007 American Institute of Biological SciencesRepository Status
- Restricted