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Expert assessment of alternatives to change the location of the port of Varna
Citation
Nikolova, ND and Armenski, IS and Tchikova, KT and Tenekedjiev, KI, Expert assessment of alternatives to change the location of the port of Varna, Proceedings of the 13th IFAC Symposium on Control in Transportation Systems, 12-14 September 2012, Sofia, Bulgaria, pp. 138-143. ISBN 978-3-902823-13-7 (2012) [Refereed Conference Paper]
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DOI: doi:10.3182/20120912-3-BG-2031.00027
Abstract
The Port of Varna East is one of the main port facilities on the West Black sea coast. A major issue in its future development is the question of whether to keep the port at its present location within the city limits or move it to another location and develop a recreational center on its place. In this practically-oriented study, four alternatives for the future development of the Port of Varna east area are outlined, and a detailed expert-based analysis is conducted. An original procedure, called REPOMP (Randomized Expert Panel Opinion Marginalizing Procedure) is employed for the selection. A hierarchical structure of criteria is elaborated, and experts have provided their opinion regarding those criteria for each alternative. Simulation procedures are used to define the best point estimate and the standard deviation of the total marginal criterion. Hypothesis testing procedure is also employed to define indifference classes of the alternatives.
Item Details
Item Type: | Refereed Conference Paper |
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Keywords: | expert panel, hierarchy of criteria, port infrastructure, recreational centre |
Research Division: | Mathematical Sciences |
Research Group: | Statistics |
Research Field: | Applied statistics |
Objective Division: | Transport |
Objective Group: | Water transport |
Objective Field: | Port infrastructure and management |
UTAS Author: | Nikolova, ND (Professor Nataliya Nikolova) |
UTAS Author: | Tenekedjiev, KI (Professor Kiril Tenekedjiev) |
ID Code: | 115716 |
Year Published: | 2012 |
Deposited By: | Maritime and Logistics Management |
Deposited On: | 2017-04-05 |
Last Modified: | 2017-05-01 |
Downloads: | 0 |
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