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An application of BN to envisage potential accidents in FLNG facility


Baksh, MA and Abbassi, R and Garaniya, V and Khan, F, An application of BN to envisage potential accidents in FLNG facility, Proceedings of the 12th ISOPE Pacific/Asia Offshore Mechanics Symposium (PACOMS) 2016, 4-7 October 2016, Gold Coast, Queensland, Australia, pp. 297-304. ISSN 1946-004X (2016) [Refereed Conference Paper]

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Copyright 2016 The International Society of Offshore and Polar Engineers (ISOPE)

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The majority of existing fire and explosion consequence models currently used in the offshore LNG process facilities focus on modelling individual accidental hazard. However, such undesired events can occur simultaneously leading to multiple consequences. This study focuses on developing a model-based Bayesian network (BN) approach to envisage the most probable accidental scenario in complex offshore process facilities by considering the evidence of primary causes. The proposed methodology comprises of evolving scenario identification, accident consequence framework development, accident scenario likelihood estimation, and ranking of the scenarios. The approach was tested and demonstrated with a case study for an offshore LNG process facility (Floating LNG). The developed methodology using the BN approach was found to be effective in determining the most credible accidental scenario.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Conference Paper
Keywords:Bayesian network, consequence assessment, fire and explosion modelling, scenario-based modelling, offshore system
Research Division:Engineering
Research Group:Maritime engineering
Research Field:Ocean engineering
Objective Division:Expanding Knowledge
Objective Group:Expanding knowledge
Objective Field:Expanding knowledge in engineering
UTAS Author:Baksh, MA (Dr Md. Al-Amin Baksh)
UTAS Author:Abbassi, R (Dr Rouzbeh Abbassi)
UTAS Author:Garaniya, V (Associate Professor Vikram Garaniya)
UTAS Author:Khan, F (Professor Faisal Khan)
ID Code:111880
Year Published:2016
Deposited By:NC Maritime Engineering and Hydrodynamics
Deposited On:2016-10-13
Last Modified:2018-05-23
Downloads:9 View Download Statistics

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