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A Bayesian belief network model for community-based coastal resource management in the Kei Islands, Indonesia
Citation
Hoshino, E and van Putten, I and Girsang, W and Resosudarmo, BP and Yamazaki, S, A Bayesian belief network model for community-based coastal resource management in the Kei Islands, Indonesia, Ecology and Society, 21, (2) Article 16. ISSN 1708-3087 (2016) [Refereed Article]
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Copyright Statement
Copyright 2016 by the author(s). Published here under license by the Resilience Alliance.
DOI: doi:10.5751/ES-08285-210216
Abstract
Understanding the specific relationships between ecological and socioeconomic conditions and marine tenure is likely
to contribute to successful functioning of self-governance institutions for common-pool resources. Complex interrelationships of factors
influencing fishing activities of coastal communities and implementation of customary marine tenure over their waters can be
represented in a Bayesian belief network model. We developed a Bayesian belief network model that includes the links between factors
for fishing communities in the Kei Islands in Indonesia, based on indepth local surveys. Our results showed that the cumulative impacts
of multiple factors on key social, economic, and environmental outcomes can be much larger than the impact from a single source,
which implies that management or policy intervention could be more effective when addressing multiple factors simultaneously. The
local community's perception of fish stock abundance trends was the single most important factor influencing social, economic, and
environmental outcomes of their community-based management system. The frequency of which outsiders were sighted in territorial
waters was strongly (negatively) linked to weak or strong implementation of a customary tenure (Sasi) and the occurrence of intervillage
and intravillage conflict. Ecological variables also drive these conflicts, which illustrates the close connection between ecological and
social outcomes, and the importance of considering social-ecological systems as a whole.
Item Details
| Item Type: | Refereed Article |
|---|---|
| Keywords: | Bayesian belief network, community-based management, customary marine tenure, Indonesia, small-scale fisheries, socialecological systems |
| Research Division: | Economics |
| Research Group: | Applied Economics |
| Research Field: | Environment and Resource Economics |
| Objective Division: | Environment |
| Objective Group: | Environmental Policy, Legislation and Standards |
| Objective Field: | Coastal and Marine Management Policy |
| UTAS Author: | Hoshino, E (Dr Eriko Hoshino) |
| UTAS Author: | van Putten, I (Dr Ingrid Van Putten) |
| UTAS Author: | Yamazaki, S (Dr Satoshi Yamazaki) |
| ID Code: | 108692 |
| Year Published: | 2016 |
| Web of Science® Times Cited: | 4 |
| Deposited By: | TSBE |
| Deposited On: | 2016-05-04 |
| Last Modified: | 2017-03-29 |
| Downloads: | 106 View Download Statistics |
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