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A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves

Citation

Hobday, AJ and Alexander, LV and Perkins, SE and Smale, DA and Straub, SC and Oliver, ECJ and Benthuysen, JA and Burrows, MT and Donat, MG and Feng, M and Holbrook, NJ and Moore, PJ and Scannell, HA and Sen Gupta, A and Wernberg, T, A hierarchical approach to defining marine heatwaves, Progress in Oceanography, 141 pp. 227-238. ISSN 0079-6611 (2016) [Refereed Article]

Copyright Statement

Copyright 2016 Elsevier

DOI: doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2015.12.014

Abstract

Marine heatwaves (MHWs) have been observed around the world and are expected to increase in intensity and frequency under anthropogenic climate change. A variety of impacts have been associated with these anomalous events, including shifts in species ranges, local extinctions and economic impacts on seafood industries through declines in important fishery species and impacts on aquaculture. Extreme temperatures are increasingly seen as important influences on biological systems, yet a consistent definition of MHWs does not exist. A clear definition will facilitate retrospective comparisons between MHWs, enabling the synthesis and a mechanistic understanding of the role of MHWs in marine ecosystems. Building on research into atmospheric heatwaves, we propose both a general and specific definition for MHWs, based on a hierarchy of metrics that allow for different data sets to be used in identifying MHWs. We generally define a MHW as a prolonged discrete anomalously warm water event that can be described by its duration, intensity, rate of evolution, and spatial extent. Specifically, we consider an anomalously warm event to be a MHW if it lasts for five or more days, with temperatures warmer than the 90th percentile based on a 30-year historical baseline period. This structure provides flexibility with regard to the description of MHWs and transparency in communicating MHWs to a general audience. The use of these metrics is illustrated for three 21st century MHWs; the northern Mediterranean event in 2003, the Western Australia 'Ningaloo Nino' in 2011, and the northwest Atlantic event in 2012. We recommend a specific quantitative definition for MHWs to facilitate global comparisons and to advance our understanding of these phenomena.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:extreme events, heat waves, sea surface temperature
Research Division:Earth Sciences
Research Group:Oceanography
Research Field:Physical Oceanography
Objective Division:Environment
Objective Group:Climate and Climate Change
Objective Field:Climate Variability (excl. Social Impacts)
Author:Oliver, ECJ (Dr Eric Oliver)
Author:Holbrook, NJ (Associate Professor Neil Holbrook)
ID Code:107955
Year Published:2016
Web of Science® Times Cited:29
Deposited By:Centre for Oceans and Cryosphere
Deposited On:2016-04-01
Last Modified:2017-11-17
Downloads:0

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