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Does cartilage volume measurement or radiographic osteoarthritis at baseline independently predict ten-year cartilage volume loss?


McBride, A and Khan, HI and Aitken, D and Chou, L and Ding, C and Blizzard, L and Pelletier, JP and Martel-Pelletier, J and Cicuttini, F and Jones, G, Does cartilage volume measurement or radiographic osteoarthritis at baseline independently predict ten-year cartilage volume loss?, BMC Musculoskeletal Disorders, 17 Article 54. ISSN 1471-2474 (2016) [Refereed Article]


Copyright Statement

2016 McBride et al. Licensed under Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4)

DOI: doi:10.1186/s12891-016-0900-7


BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine whether cartilage volume as measured by MRI and radiographic osteoarthritis (OA) at baseline predict cartilage volume loss over ten years independent of each other and other structural co-pathologies.

METHODS: 219 participants [mean-age 45(26-61); 57 % female] were studied at baseline and ten years. Approximately half were the adult offspring of subjects who underwent knee replacement for OA and the remainder were randomly selected controls. Joint space narrowing (JSN) and osteophytes were assessed on radiographs and cartilage volume (tibiofemoral), cartilage defects, bone marrow lesions and meniscal tears/extrusion were assessed on MRI.

RESULTS: Mean absolute and percentage per annum cartilage volume loss was 1284 mm3 and 1.91 % respectively in the medial compartment and 1007 mm3 and 1.38 % respectively in the lateral compartment. Higher baseline tibiofemoral cartilage volume was independently associated with greater absolute cartilage volume loss in both medial (β(95 % CI) = -300 (-399,-200)) and lateral (β = -338 (-443,-233)) compartments and percentage per annum loss in the lateral compartment(β = -0.15 (-0.29, -0.01)). Baseline JSN and osteophytes were associated with cartilage volume loss in the univariable analysis, however these associations did not persist after adjustment for other structural co-pathologies.

CONCLUSION: Cross-sectional cartilage volume measurement independently predicts cartilage volume loss over 10 years and can be used to identify fast progressors in clinical trials. Radiographic JSN and osteophytes on the other hand are a reflection of other co-pathologies assessed on MRI and do not independently predict cartilage volume loss over 10 years.

Item Details

Item Type:Refereed Article
Keywords:Knee, Osteoarthritis, Cartilage volume, Magnetic resonance imaging, Radiographs
Research Division:Biomedical and Clinical Sciences
Research Group:Clinical sciences
Research Field:Rheumatology and arthritis
Objective Division:Health
Objective Group:Clinical health
Objective Field:Clinical health not elsewhere classified
UTAS Author:McBride, A (Dr Andrew McBride)
UTAS Author:Khan, HI (Dr Hussain Khan)
UTAS Author:Aitken, D (Associate Professor Dawn Aitken)
UTAS Author:Chou, L (Ms Lousia Chou)
UTAS Author:Ding, C (Professor Chang-Hai Ding)
UTAS Author:Blizzard, L (Professor Leigh Blizzard)
UTAS Author:Jones, G (Professor Graeme Jones)
ID Code:107918
Year Published:2016
Web of Science® Times Cited:4
Deposited By:Menzies Institute for Medical Research
Deposited On:2016-03-31
Last Modified:2022-08-29
Downloads:154 View Download Statistics

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